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National Forecasting Program
Population and housing forecast for Richmond – Tweed
Our latest population and housing forecasts for Richmond – Tweed, which covers the Tweed, Byron, Ballina, Lismore and Kyogle council areas and part of Richmond Valley, taking in NSW's northernmost stretch of coast from Evans Head north through Ballina and Byron Bay to the Tweed River.
- Region
- Richmond – Tweed · SA4 112
- Councils
- Ballina, Byron, Clarence Valley (part), Kyogle, Lismore, Richmond Valley (part), Tweed
- Built on
- 2025 national forecast (2021.2024.3)
- Released
- 06/05/2026
- Status
- Current
- Boundaries
- ASGS 2021 Ed. 3
- Horizon
- 2046
- Tweed Heads
- Kingscliff
- Murwillumbah
- Pottsville
- Mullumbimby
- Byron Bay
- Lennox Head
- Ballina
- Lismore
- Casino
- Kyogle
- Evans Head
Where this region sits
- NationAustralia+8.6m to 2046Population growth, 2021 to 20462025 forecast
- StateNew South Wales+2.17m to 2046Population growth, 2021 to 20462025 forecast
- You are here: RegionRichmond – Tweed+44,8532.1% of New South Wales' growth2021.2024.3.1.1 · May 2026
- Below the region22 small areas, all forecastSmall-area forecasts available through Placemaker.
New South Wales' share of national growth is set from the national drivers. This region's share of New South Wales is built from development assessed on the ground.
The forecast
256,820
Population, 2021
301,673
Population, 2046
+44,853
Total growth to 2046
+29,794
Additional dwellings
Population, dwellings and age structure, five-yearly
| Population | Dwellings | Age structure, % | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Total | Change | Total | Change | 0–14 | 15–64 | 65+ |
| 2021 | 256,820 | — | 117,386 | — | 17.0 | 59.2 | 23.8 |
| 2026 | 268,191 | +11,371 | 122,120 | +4,734 | 16.2 | 57.5 | 26.2 |
| 2031 | 277,782 | +9,591 | 127,925 | +5,805 | 15.7 | 54.8 | 29.5 |
| 2036 | 287,132 | +9,350 | 133,986 | +6,061 | 15.4 | 52.8 | 31.8 |
| 2041 | 294,927 | +7,795 | 140,388 | +6,402 | 14.9 | 51.4 | 33.7 |
| 2046 | 301,673 | +6,746 | 147,180 | +6,792 | 14.4 | 50.9 | 34.7 |
What we assess, and where
Different things drive population change at different scales. We form a view at each level, and each level constrains the one below it.
- Nation
- Overseas migration
- Fertility and life expectancy
- Housing completions
- State
- Share of overseas migration
- Interstate migration
- State housing policy
- Region (this page)
- Intrastate migration
- Development pipeline
- Capacity and limiting factors
- Ageing in place
- Suburb and site
- Site-by-site development assessment
- Dwelling type and density
Housing capacity, by area
| Sub-area (SA3) | Area character | Capacity used by 2046 |
|---|---|---|
| Richmond Valley – Coastal | 77.8% | |
| Richmond Valley – Hinterland | 26.3% | |
| Tweed Valley | 38.6% | |
| Richmond – Tweed total | 44.2% |
How to read this
Capacity used is the share of an area's assessed dwelling capacity that the forecast draws down by 2046. Assessed capacity is post-census capacity across 471 tracked residential development sites, so it counts what those sites can hold, not every theoretical dwelling a planning control would permit.
The major sites that shape this forecast
| Site | Location | Type | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tweed Heads Potential Development | Tweed Heads | Redevelopment | Structure plan / Under-utilised (med-high density) |
| Tweed Heads Shopping Mall Redevelopment (Lot 2) | 6 Bay Street TWEED HEADS | Redevelopment | Pre-approved / Lapsed approval |
| Dunloe Urban Release Area | 836 POTTSVILLE ROAD, CUDGERA CREEK | Redevelopment | Structure plan / Under-utilised (med-high density) |
| Tweed Heads Potential Development | Tweed Heads | Redevelopment | Structure plan / Under-utilised (med-high density) |
| Tweed Heads Potential Development | Tweed Heads | Redevelopment | Structure plan / Under-utilised (med-high density) |
Our forecasting team
Places covered by this forecast
The largest of the 373 suburbs and localities in this region. Every one of them is forecast at small-area level, and any combination can be built into a custom catchment through Placemaker.
- Banora Point
- Goonellabah
- Casino
- Tweed Heads
- Ballina
- Lennox Head
- Kingscliff
- Tweed Heads South
- Murwillumbah
- Pottsville
- Byron Bay
- Tweed Heads West
- Alstonville
- East Ballina
- Ocean Shores
- East Lismore
- Mullumbimby
- Suffolk Park
- Terranora
- Bilambil Heights
- + 353 more
Plus 353 more. Search for any suburb or locality on our forecast analysis page.
Common questions about the forecast for Richmond – Tweed
A credible, independent forecast
Independent of government
Our forecasts are not commissioned by any government, so they give an independent view.
Granular forecasts for custom catchments
Forecast at small-area level, so they can be built up into any catchment you need, such as a school catchment, a retail trade area or a utility service area.
Every region, on one basis
A single national model, not a collection of unconnected local studies.
Assessed site by site
Built on a national development sites layer maintained by our own forecasters. 471 development sites assessed in this region alone.
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Questions about a forecast go to the team who prepared it.
See the forecast for your exact area
Placemaker gives you the population, housing and development forecast for any catchment you draw inside this region, by single year, with the development pipeline behind it.