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Population and housing forecast for Murray
Our latest population and housing forecasts for Murray, which stretches from Albury westwards along the Murray River to Wentworth, covering the Albury, Balranald, Berrigan, Edward River, Hay, Murray River and Wentworth council areas and parts of Federation, Greater Hume and Murrumbidgee.
- Region
- Murray · SA4 109
- Councils
- Albury, Balranald, Berrigan, Carrathool (part), Edward River, Federation (part), Greater Hume (part), Hay, Lockhart (part), Murray River, Murrumbidgee (part), Wentworth
- Built on
- Earlier national forecast (2021.2022.1)
- Released
- 23/03/2025
- Status
- Current
- Boundaries
- ASGS 2021 Ed. 3
- Horizon
- 2046
- Albury
- Lavington
- Thurgoona
- Corowa
- Tocumwal
- Finley
- Deniliquin
- Moama
- Hay
- Balranald
- Buronga
- Wentworth
Where this region sits
- NationAustralia+8.6m to 2046Population growth, 2021 to 20462025 forecast
- StateNew South Wales+2.42m to 2046Population growth, 2021 to 20462021.2022.x
- You are here: RegionMurray+28,5201.2% of New South Wales' growth2021.2022.1.1.2 · Mar 2025
- Below the region14 small areas, all forecastSmall-area forecasts available through Placemaker.
New South Wales' share of national growth is set from the national drivers. This region's share of New South Wales is built from development assessed on the ground.
The forecast
123,332
Population, 2021
151,852
Population, 2046
+28,520
Total growth to 2046
+14,658
Additional dwellings
Population, dwellings and age structure, five-yearly
| Population | Dwellings | Age structure, % | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Total | Change | Total | Change | 0–14 | 15–64 | 65+ |
| 2021 | 123,332 | — | 57,909 | — | 18.4 | 58.8 | 22.8 |
| 2026 | 128,838 | +5,506 | 60,643 | +2,734 | 17.8 | 57.5 | 24.8 |
| 2031 | 134,486 | +5,648 | 63,395 | +2,752 | 17.6 | 56.4 | 26.0 |
| 2036 | 140,402 | +5,916 | 66,384 | +2,989 | 17.6 | 55.8 | 26.6 |
| 2041 | 146,137 | +5,735 | 69,405 | +3,021 | 17.8 | 55.7 | 26.5 |
| 2046 | 151,852 | +5,715 | 72,567 | +3,162 | 18.1 | 56.0 | 25.8 |
What we assess, and where
Different things drive population change at different scales. We form a view at each level, and each level constrains the one below it.
- Nation
- Overseas migration
- Fertility and life expectancy
- Housing completions
- State
- Share of overseas migration
- Interstate migration
- State housing policy
- Region (this page)
- Intrastate migration
- Development pipeline
- Capacity and limiting factors
- Ageing in place
- Suburb and site
- Site-by-site development assessment
- Dwelling type and density
Housing capacity, by area
| Sub-area (SA3) | Area character | Capacity used by 2046 |
|---|---|---|
| Albury | 54.7% | |
| Lower Murray | 15.7% | |
| Upper Murray exc. Albury | 34.2% | |
| Murray total | 45.5% |
How to read this
Capacity used is the share of an area's assessed dwelling capacity that the forecast draws down by 2046. Assessed capacity is post-census capacity across 448 tracked residential development sites, so it counts what those sites can hold, not every theoretical dwelling a planning control would permit.
The major sites that shape this forecast
| Site | Location | Type | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 Newport Crescent Thurgoona | 123 Newport Crescent THURGOONA | Greenfield | Site clearing |
| Ura Residential | 101 Kywanna Road WIRLINGA | Greenfield | Structure plan / Under-utilised (med-high density) |
| 123 Newport Crescent Thurgoona | 123 Newport Crescent THURGOONA | Greenfield | Under construction |
| Wirlinga potential development | Wirlinga | Greenfield | Structure plan / Under-utilised (med-high density) |
| Thurgoona potential development | Thurgoona | Greenfield | Structure plan / Under-utilised (med-high density) |
Our forecasting team
Places covered by this forecast
The largest of the 170 suburbs and localities in this region. Every one of them is forecast at small-area level, and any combination can be built into a custom catchment through Placemaker.
- Thurgoona
- Lavington
- Moama
- Deniliquin
- East Albury
- North Albury
- Corowa
- Albury
- West Albury
- Glenroy (Albury - NSW)
- Howlong
- Jindera
- Tocumwal
- Mulwala
- Springdale Heights
- Finley
- Hay
- Gol Gol
- Barooga
- Holbrook
- + 150 more
Plus 150 more. Search for any suburb or locality on our forecast analysis page.
Common questions about the forecast for Murray
A credible, independent forecast
Independent of government
Our forecasts are not commissioned by any government, so they give an independent view.
Granular forecasts for custom catchments
Forecast at small-area level, so they can be built up into any catchment you need, such as a school catchment, a retail trade area or a utility service area.
Every region, on one basis
A single national model, not a collection of unconnected local studies.
Assessed site by site
Built on a national development sites layer maintained by our own forecasters. 448 development sites assessed in this region alone.
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Questions about a forecast go to the team who prepared it.
See the forecast for your exact area
Placemaker gives you the population, housing and development forecast for any catchment you draw inside this region, by single year, with the development pipeline behind it.