National Forecast Program

Perth - Inner

The population and housing forecast for the Perth - Inner region

Published: March 2026
Version 5.2.0

Perth - Inner

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About

About the Perth - Inner region

Including the Central Business District of Greater Perth, and stretching north of the Swan River and west to the Indian Ocean, Perth - Inner consists of :

The City of Perth, The City of Vincent, parts of the Cities of Bayswater and Stirling, The Town of Cambridge, The City of Subiaco, The City of Nedlands, The Town of Claremont, The Town of Cottesloe, The Shire of Peppermint Grove and the Town of Mosman Park.

The radial Perth commuter rail network is centred on Perth Railway station (and the Perth Underground Railway station), and major highways such as the Graham Farmer Freeway, Stirling Highway and Mitchell Freeway pass through the region.

Unlike the other metropolitan Perth SA4s, the Perth-Inner region includes mainly of more densely populated inner city suburbs and established middle ring suburbs with no greenfield development. Significant redevelopment plans are in place for East Perth and Subiaco, and densification is being directed across the major arterial routes of the SA4.

This SA4 region is home many of the key government, commercial and recreation sites of the State, including the State Parliament and Supreme Court, headquarters of large companies, the WACA and Kings Park.

Map image: via Google Map Data

About the Perth - Inner region

Key findings

Perth - Inner region

The region is expected to reach 250,000 residents by 2044. By 2046, the population is forecast to reach 254,428, an increase of 65,673 residents since 2021. Over the same period, an additional 30,666 dwellings are expected to be built.

  • The City of Subiaco is currently redeveloping, with new precincts such as the Subi East redevelopment providing medium and high density housing along the oval. Subiaco also benefits from vacant lots with development potential along Hay Street.
  • The City of Vincent has a variety of development strategies, including redevelopment and town centre precincts such as the Pickle District and the Leederville Precinct Structure Plan, supported by new rail station redevelopment strategies for stations such as Claisebrook and Glendalough.
  • The City of Perth is benefiting from redevelopment opportunities in East Perth, such as the Perth Girls School redevelopment, and the potential redevelopment of Gloucester Park. The Waterbank redevelopment is no longer occurring due to geotechnical issues at the site.
  • The City of Nedlands is currently developing the Montario Quarter, providing medium density townhouses and apartments, supported by the Mount Claremont Masterplan, which has identified mixed use and medium density redevelopment potential.

What share of Australia's growth will occur in Western Australia?

Western Australia is forecast to add 1.2 million people by 2046. The Perth - Inner region contributes around 5% of this growth, reflecting its consistently steady growth over time.

Read our forecast results and analysis for Western Australia to learn more about how the different drivers of population change affect the distribution of growth throughout the state.

The population forecast for Western Australia

Forecast results

The following forecast information presents the numbers for the Perth - Inner region.

Learn more about the different options to access these forecasts for Local Government Areas (LGAs), suburbs, custom catchments or the entire state or nation here.

202120262031203620412046
Forecast Population188,755212,331223,059233,990244,672254,428
Change (five year)-23,57610,72810,93110,6839,756
Average Annual Change (%)-2.4%1.0%1.0%0.9%0.8%
Forecast Dwellings87,16091,22998,039104,831111,341117,826
Change (five year)-4,0696,8106,7926,5106,485
Average Annual Change (%)-0.9%1.5%1.3%1.2%1.1%

Map of development sites

The map below identifies all major development sites that have been identified in our research.

These sites have been organised to understand the likely location, capacity, timing and sequence of future development. By matching forecast population growth in this area to these sites, we can provide a more granular view of the distribution of the forecast population within a given region.

In the Perth - Inner region, we identified 460 development sites, 37.6% of these sites' capacity were used in the forecast period.

Learn more about our land use research

Access

How to access the National Forecasting Program

Our National Forecasting Program is the backbone of all of our forecasting products and services for government and business.

Government Toolkit

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See the National Forecasting Program in action in our Population Forecast online tool, or get in touch.

Government Toolkit

The team

Our forecasting team

Prepared and presented by experts from Australia's largest independent population forecasting team.

Johnny Barnard

Johnny Barnard

Principal Consultant

Liza Ivanova

Liza Ivanova

Principal Forecast Consultant

Richard  Thornton

Richard Thornton

Head of Forecasting

Chris Jones

Chris Jones

Forecaster

Oliver Bowering

Oliver Bowering

Senior Forecast Consultant

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