Published: July 2026
Version: 2021.2024.3.1.1
Population and dwelling forecast for the Hobart SA4.

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Tasmania is forecast to reach 603,080 people by 2046. Greater Hobart, as the state's capital and largest urban area, accounts for a substantial share of that growth, concentrated in the outer growth corridors of Clarence, Sorell, Brighton and Kingborough, while the established inner suburbs remain largely stable.
The Hobart SA4 covers Tasmania's capital city and the metropolitan area surrounding the River Derwent estuary. It is the state's largest population centre, spanning the inner city and established western shore suburbs in the City of Hobart, the Eastern Shore in the City of Clarence including Rokeby, Howrah, Bellerive and Lindisfarne, the northern suburbs along the Derwent in the City of Glenorchy, the northern growth corridor in the Municipality of Brighton including Bridgewater, Gagebrook and Old Beach, the southern suburbs of Kingborough centred on Kingston, Huntingfield and Blackmans Bay, the eastern satellite town of Sorell, and the Derwent Valley around New Norfolk.
The SA4 encompasses the City of Hobart, the City of Glenorchy and the City of Clarence, along with the municipalities of Kingborough, Brighton, Sorell and Derwent Valley.
The major economic activities in the region are state and local government administration, health and social services, tertiary education through the University of Tasmania, tourism and hospitality, Antarctic and Southern Ocean science and logistics, with Hobart one of the world's principal gateways to Antarctica, and port and maritime industries. The inner city is the primary employment and services centre, followed by Glenorchy in the north and the Clarence centres of Rokeby, Howrah and Bellerive on the Eastern Shore. Kingston serves as the main centre for the growing southern suburbs.
Population growth is shaped by interstate migration, housing affordability relative to mainland capital cities, and the release of greenfield land in the outer growth corridors of Brighton, Sorell, Clarence and Kingborough. Employment growth in the government, health and university sectors underpins demand, while topographic constraints, heritage considerations and river crossing capacity limit development in the established inner suburbs, where the population is ageing in place.

Hobart is forecast to grow from 250,717 people in 2021 to 270,674 by 2046, an increase of 19,957 residents and average growth of 0.31% a year. Dwelling stock grows from 106,303 to 124,883 over the same period.
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Our Government Toolkit gives users access to the proprietary datasets maintained by .id through a suite of intuitive online tools.
See the National Forecasting Program in action in our Population Forecast online tool, or get in touch.

Our Government Toolkit gives users access to the proprietary datasets maintained by .id through a suite of intuitive online tools.
See the National Forecasting Program in action in our Population Forecast online tool, or get in touch.

The following forecast information presents the numbers for the Hobart SA4.
Learn more about the different options to access these forecasts for Local Government Areas (LGAs), suburbs, custom catchments or the entire state or nation here.
| 2021 | 2026 | 2031 | 2036 | 2041 | 2046 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecast Population | 250,717 | 257,591 | 262,425 | 266,788 | 269,252 | 270,674 |
| Change (five year) | - | 6,874 | 4,834 | 4,363 | 2,464 | 1,422 |
| Average Annual Change (%) | - | 0.54% | 0.37% | 0.33% | 0.18% | 0.11% |
| Forecast Dwellings | 106,303 | 111,466 | 115,678 | 119,351 | 122,361 | 124,883 |
| Change (five year) | - | 5,163 | 4,212 | 3,673 | 3,010 | 2,522 |
| Average Annual Change (%) | - | 0.95% | 0.74% | 0.63% | 0.50% | 0.41% |
Prepared and presented by experts from Australia's largest independent population forecasting team.

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