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Population and housing forecast for Shepparton
Our latest population and housing forecasts for Shepparton, which covers the Campaspe and Moira council areas and part of Greater Shepparton, including the regional centres of Shepparton, Echuca, Cobram and Kyabram.
- Region
- Shepparton · SA4 216
- Councils
- Campaspe, Greater Shepparton (part), Moira
- Built on
- Earlier national forecast (2021.2022.1)
- Released
- 19/02/2025
- Status
- Current
- Boundaries
- ASGS 2021 Ed. 3
- Horizon
- 2046
- Shepparton
- Mooroopna
- Kialla
- Tatura
- Kyabram
- Tongala
- Echuca
- Rochester
- Numurkah
- Nathalia
- Cobram
- Yarrawonga
Where this region sits
- NationAustralia+8.6m to 2046Population growth, 2021 to 20462025 forecast
- StateVictoria+2.88m to 2046Population growth, 2021 to 20462021.2022.x
- You are here: RegionShepparton+21,5430.7% of Victoria's growth2021.2022.1.1.2 · Feb 2025
- Below the region15 small areas, all forecastSmall-area forecasts available through Placemaker.
Victoria's share of national growth is set from the national drivers. This region's share of Victoria is built from development assessed on the ground.
The forecast
137,375
Population, 2021
158,918
Population, 2046
+21,543
Total growth to 2046
+15,669
Additional dwellings
Population, dwellings and age structure, five-yearly
| Population | Dwellings | Age structure, % | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Total | Change | Total | Change | 0–14 | 15–64 | 65+ |
| 2021 | 137,375 | — | 61,468 | — | 18.4 | 59.6 | 22.1 |
| 2026 | 142,667 | +5,292 | 64,993 | +3,525 | 17.2 | 58.5 | 24.3 |
| 2031 | 147,210 | +4,543 | 68,175 | +3,182 | 16.5 | 56.9 | 26.6 |
| 2036 | 151,276 | +4,066 | 71,166 | +2,991 | 16.5 | 55.3 | 28.2 |
| 2041 | 155,122 | +3,846 | 74,094 | +2,928 | 16.3 | 54.9 | 28.9 |
| 2046 | 158,918 | +3,796 | 77,137 | +3,043 | 16.0 | 55.2 | 28.7 |
What we assess, and where
Different things drive population change at different scales. We form a view at each level, and each level constrains the one below it.
- Nation
- Overseas migration
- Fertility and life expectancy
- Housing completions
- State
- Share of overseas migration
- Interstate migration
- State housing policy
- Region (this page)
- Intrastate migration
- Development pipeline
- Capacity and limiting factors
- Ageing in place
- Suburb and site
- Site-by-site development assessment
- Dwelling type and density
Housing capacity, by area
| Sub-area (SA3) | Area character | Capacity used by 2046 |
|---|---|---|
| Campaspe | 28.2% | |
| Moira | 31.7% | |
| Shepparton | 41.3% | |
| Shepparton total | 35.0% |
How to read this
Capacity used is the share of an area's assessed dwelling capacity that the forecast draws down by 2046. Assessed capacity is post-census capacity across 309 tracked residential development sites, so it counts what those sites can hold, not every theoretical dwelling a planning control would permit.
The major sites that shape this forecast
| Site | Location | Type | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kialla North Growth Corridor | 585 Archer Road KIALLA | Greenfield | Structure plan / Under-utilised (med-high density) |
| Silverwoods Estate - Yarrawonga | Lot 710 Thomson Cct Yarrawonga | Greenfield | Under construction |
Our forecasting team
Places covered by this forecast
The largest of the 155 suburbs and localities in this region. Every one of them is forecast at small-area level, and any combination can be built into a custom catchment through Placemaker.
- Shepparton
- Echuca
- Kialla
- Yarrawonga
- Mooroopna
- Kyabram
- Cobram
- Tatura
- Numurkah
- Rochester
- Shepparton North
- Nathalia
- Tongala
- Rushworth
- Shepparton East
- Katunga
- Strathmerton
- Murchison
- Toolamba
- Stanhope
- + 135 more
Plus 135 more. Search for any suburb or locality on our forecast analysis page.
Common questions about the forecast for Shepparton
A credible, independent forecast
Independent of government
Our forecasts are not commissioned by any government, so they give an independent view.
Granular forecasts for custom catchments
Forecast at small-area level, so they can be built up into any catchment you need, such as a school catchment, a retail trade area or a utility service area.
Every region, on one basis
A single national model, not a collection of unconnected local studies.
Assessed site by site
Built on a national development sites layer maintained by our own forecasters. 309 development sites assessed in this region alone.
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Questions about a forecast go to the team who prepared it.
See the forecast for your exact area
Placemaker gives you the population, housing and development forecast for any catchment you draw inside this region, by single year, with the development pipeline behind it.