National Forecasting Program

Population and housing forecast for Central Queensland

Our latest population and housing forecasts for Central Queensland, which covers the Rockhampton, Livingstone, Gladstone, Banana, Central Highlands and Woorabinda council areas, taking in Rockhampton, Yeppoon, Gladstone, Biloela and, further west, Emerald.

Region
Central Queensland · SA4 308
Councils
Banana, Central Highlands (Qld), Gladstone, Livingstone, Rockhampton, Western Downs (part), Woorabinda
Built on
2025 national forecast (2021.2024.3)
Released
14/08/2025
Status
Current
Boundaries
ASGS 2021 Ed. 3
Horizon
2046
  • Rockhampton City
  • Gracemere
  • Yeppoon
  • Emu Park
  • Gladstone Central
  • Boyne Island
  • Tannum Sands
  • Agnes Water
  • Biloela
  • Moura
  • Blackwater
  • Emerald

Where this region sits

  1. Nation
    Australia
    +8.6m to 2046
    Population growth, 2021 to 2046
    2025 forecast
  2. State
    Queensland
    +2.17m to 2046
    Population growth, 2021 to 2046
    2025 forecast
  3. You are here: Region
    Central Queensland
    +44,103
    2.0% of Queensland's growth
    2021.2024.3.1.1 · Aug 2025
  4. Below the region
    34 small areas, all forecast
    Small-area forecasts available through Placemaker.

Queensland's share of national growth is set from the national drivers. This region's share of Queensland is built from development assessed on the ground.

The forecast

  • 231,029

    Population, 2021

  • 275,132

    Population, 2046

  • +44,103

    Total growth to 2046

  • +19,436

    Additional dwellings

Population, dwellings and age structure, five-yearly

Five-year intervals shown; the forecast itself is a single-year series by single year of age and sex, available in full through Placemaker, along with a downloadable summary. We forecast the share aged 65 and over to move from 15.1% in 2021 to 21.9% in 2046.
PopulationDwellingsAge structure, %
YearTotalChangeTotalChange0–1415–6465+
2021231,029—104,896—21.163.915.1
2026246,071+15,042107,811+2,91519.762.917.4
2031254,391+8,320111,862+4,05118.861.319.9
2036262,187+7,796116,045+4,18319.059.721.4
2041268,796+6,609120,181+4,13619.658.422.0
2046275,132+6,336124,332+4,15119.858.321.9

What we assess, and where

Different things drive population change at different scales. We form a view at each level, and each level constrains the one below it.

  1. Nation
    • Overseas migration
    • Fertility and life expectancy
    • Housing completions
  2. State
    • Share of overseas migration
    • Interstate migration
    • State housing policy
  3. Region (this page)
    • Intrastate migration
    • Development pipeline
    • Capacity and limiting factors
    • Ageing in place
  4. Suburb and site
    • Site-by-site development assessment
    • Dwelling type and density

Housing capacity, by area

Sub-area (SA3)Area characterCapacity used by 2046
Biloela11.7%
Central Highlands (Qld)4.3%
Gladstone22.7%
Rockhampton36.9%
Central Queensland total27.2%

How to read this

Capacity used is the share of an area's assessed dwelling capacity that the forecast draws down by 2046. Assessed capacity is post-census capacity across 436 tracked residential development sites, so it counts what those sites can hold, not every theoretical dwelling a planning control would permit.

The major sites that shape this forecast

SiteLocationTypeStatus
Edenbrook Estate - Late StagesParkhurstGreenfieldSite clearing
Central Queensland University PdaNorman GardensGreenfieldStructure plan / Under-utilised (med-high density)
The Pines Estate - Later Stages22 Atkinson Street Hidden ValleyGreenfieldPre-approved / Lapsed approval
Living Gems, Parkhurst960 Norman Road ParkhurstGreenfieldApproved
Ellida Estate - Future ReleasesParkhurstGreenfieldPre-approved / Lapsed approval

Our forecasting team

Liza Ivanova

Liza Ivanova

Principal Forecast Consultant

Oliver Bowering

Oliver Bowering

Senior Forecast Consultant

Places covered by this forecast

The largest of the 314 suburbs and localities in this region. Every one of them is forecast at small-area level, and any combination can be built into a custom catchment through Placemaker.

  • Emerald
  • Gracemere
  • Norman Gardens
  • Frenchville
  • Yeppoon
  • Berserker
  • Clinton
  • Biloela
  • Tannum Sands
  • Calliope
  • New Auckland
  • Park Avenue
  • The Range
  • West Gladstone
  • Boyne Island
  • Blackwater
  • Kawana
  • Koongal
  • Wandal
  • Parkhurst
  • + 294 more

Plus 294 more. Search for any suburb or locality on our forecast analysis page.

Common questions about the forecast for Central Queensland

A credible, independent forecast

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Independent of government

Our forecasts are not commissioned by any government, so they give an independent view.

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Granular forecasts for custom catchments

Forecast at small-area level, so they can be built up into any catchment you need, such as a school catchment, a retail trade area or a utility service area.

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Every region, on one basis

A single national model, not a collection of unconnected local studies.

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Assessed site by site

Built on a national development sites layer maintained by our own forecasters. 436 development sites assessed in this region alone.

500+

organisations across Australia trust Informed Decisions for data and insights

15,000+

suburbs forecast, covering every part of Australia

A named forecaster behind every region

Questions about a forecast go to the team who prepared it.

See the forecast for your exact area

Placemaker gives you the population, housing and development forecast for any catchment you draw inside this region, by single year, with the development pipeline behind it.