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National Forecasting Program
Population and housing forecast for Brisbane – North
Our latest population and housing forecasts for Brisbane – North, which covers the northern part of the City of Brisbane, from Eagle Farm and Brisbane Airport along the coast to Brighton, and from Bald Hills down to Everton Park.
- Region
- Brisbane – North · SA4 302
- Councils
- Brisbane (part)
- Built on
- 2025 national forecast (2021.2024.3)
- Released
- 15/08/2025
- Status
- Current
- Boundaries
- ASGS 2021 Ed. 3
- Horizon
- 2046
- Eagle Farm
- Brisbane Airport
- Nundah
- Chermside
- Aspley
- Everton Park
- Bridgeman Downs
- Bald Hills
- Bracken Ridge
- Sandgate
- Shorncliffe
- Brighton
Where this region sits
- NationAustralia+8.6m to 2046Population growth, 2021 to 20462025 forecast
- StateQueensland+2.17m to 2046Population growth, 2021 to 20462025 forecast
- You are here: RegionBrisbane – North+53,9082.5% of Queensland's growth2021.2024.3.1.1 · Aug 2025
- Below the region25 small areas, all forecastSmall-area forecasts available through Placemaker.
Queensland's share of national growth is set from the national drivers. This region's share of Queensland is built from development assessed on the ground.
The forecast
227,782
Population, 2021
281,690
Population, 2046
+53,908
Total growth to 2046
+25,567
Additional dwellings
Population, dwellings and age structure, five-yearly
| Population | Dwellings | Age structure, % | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Total | Change | Total | Change | 0–14 | 15–64 | 65+ |
| 2021 | 227,782 | — | 94,722 | — | 18.0 | 66.5 | 15.5 |
| 2026 | 246,171 | +18,389 | 99,646 | +4,924 | 16.8 | 67.2 | 16.0 |
| 2031 | 257,151 | +10,980 | 104,937 | +5,291 | 16.0 | 67.0 | 16.9 |
| 2036 | 267,188 | +10,037 | 110,421 | +5,484 | 15.7 | 66.5 | 17.8 |
| 2041 | 275,574 | +8,386 | 115,761 | +5,340 | 15.6 | 65.8 | 18.6 |
| 2046 | 281,690 | +6,116 | 120,289 | +4,528 | 15.6 | 65.2 | 19.2 |
What we assess, and where
Different things drive population change at different scales. We form a view at each level, and each level constrains the one below it.
- Nation
- Overseas migration
- Fertility and life expectancy
- Housing completions
- State
- Share of overseas migration
- Interstate migration
- State housing policy
- Region (this page)
- Intrastate migration
- Development pipeline
- Capacity and limiting factors
- Ageing in place
- Suburb and site
- Site-by-site development assessment
- Dwelling type and density
Housing capacity, by area
| Sub-area (SA3) | Area character | Capacity used by 2046 |
|---|---|---|
| Bald Hills – Everton Park | 81.1% | |
| Chermside | 73.6% | |
| Nundah | 55.8% | |
| Sandgate | 57.7% | |
| Brisbane – North total | 65.1% |
How to read this
Capacity used is the share of an area's assessed dwelling capacity that the forecast draws down by 2046. Assessed capacity is post-census capacity across 331 tracked residential development sites, so it counts what those sites can hold, not every theoretical dwelling a planning control would permit.
The major sites that shape this forecast
| Site | Location | Type | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northshore Pda | Theodore Street | Redevelopment | Structure plan / Under-utilised (med-high density) |
| Northshore Pda | Macarthur Avenue | Redevelopment | Structure plan / Under-utilised (med-high density) |
| 23 Macarthur Avenue Avenue Hamilton | MacArthur Ave & Wharf Pl (Lot 3014, SP257483), HAMILTON | Apartments | Pre-approved / Lapsed approval |
| Northshore Hamilton Redevelopment Site | 222 MacArthur Avenue, Hamilton QLD 4007 | Apartments | Marketing |
| Portside East | 11, Part 23 & Part 1A Macarthur Avenue & Part 7 & Part 11 Wharf Street | Apartments | Pre-approved / Lapsed approval |
Our forecasting team
Places covered by this forecast
The largest of the 32 suburbs and localities in this region. Every one of them is forecast at small-area level, and any combination can be built into a custom catchment through Placemaker.
- Bracken Ridge
- Nundah
- Aspley
- Chermside
- Bridgeman Downs
- Everton Park
- Wavell Heights
- Carseldine
- Kedron
- Boondall
- Brighton
- Zillmere
- Taigum
- McDowall
- Bald Hills
- Stafford
- Chermside West
- Stafford Heights
- Banyo
- Fitzgibbon
- + 12 more
Plus 12 more. Search for any suburb or locality on our forecast analysis page.
Common questions about the forecast for Brisbane – North
A credible, independent forecast
Independent of government
Our forecasts are not commissioned by any government, so they give an independent view.
Granular forecasts for custom catchments
Forecast at small-area level, so they can be built up into any catchment you need, such as a school catchment, a retail trade area or a utility service area.
Every region, on one basis
A single national model, not a collection of unconnected local studies.
Assessed site by site
Built on a national development sites layer maintained by our own forecasters. 331 development sites assessed in this region alone.
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Questions about a forecast go to the team who prepared it.
See the forecast for your exact area
Placemaker gives you the population, housing and development forecast for any catchment you draw inside this region, by single year, with the development pipeline behind it.