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Population and housing forecast for Bendigo
Our latest population and housing forecasts for Bendigo, which covers the Greater Bendigo council area and parts of Loddon, Mount Alexander and Macedon Ranges, with population centres including Bendigo, Castlemaine, Heathcote, Kyneton, Inglewood and Wedderburn.
- Region
- Bendigo · SA4 202
- Councils
- Central Goldfields (part), Greater Bendigo, Loddon (part), Macedon Ranges (part), Mount Alexander (part)
- Built on
- Earlier national forecast (2021.2022.1)
- Released
- 24/06/2024
- Status
- Current
- Boundaries
- ASGS 2021 Ed. 3
- Horizon
- 2046
- Bendigo
- Golden Square
- Kangaroo Flat
- Eaglehawk
- Maiden Gully
- Strathfieldsaye
- Heathcote
- Castlemaine
- Kyneton
- Woodend
- Inglewood
- Wedderburn
Where this region sits
- NationAustralia+8.6m to 2046Population growth, 2021 to 20462025 forecast
- StateVictoria+2.88m to 2046Population growth, 2021 to 20462021.2022.x
- You are here: RegionBendigo+57,6792.0% of Victoria's growth2021.2022.1.1.1 · Jun 2024
- Below the region16 small areas, all forecastSmall-area forecasts available through Placemaker.
Victoria's share of national growth is set from the national drivers. This region's share of Victoria is built from development assessed on the ground.
The forecast
167,196
Population, 2021
224,875
Population, 2046
+57,679
Total growth to 2046
+28,355
Additional dwellings
Population, dwellings and age structure, five-yearly
| Population | Dwellings | Age structure, % | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Total | Change | Total | Change | 0–14 | 15–64 | 65+ |
| 2021 | 167,196 | — | 75,370 | — | 18.3 | 60.6 | 21.1 |
| 2026 | 179,562 | +12,366 | 79,999 | +4,629 | 17.7 | 59.5 | 22.9 |
| 2031 | 190,516 | +10,954 | 85,506 | +5,507 | 17.3 | 58.5 | 24.3 |
| 2036 | 201,252 | +10,736 | 91,126 | +5,620 | 17.2 | 57.7 | 25.1 |
| 2041 | 212,749 | +11,497 | 97,210 | +6,084 | 17.1 | 57.5 | 25.4 |
| 2046 | 224,875 | +12,126 | 103,725 | +6,515 | 17.0 | 57.8 | 25.2 |
What we assess, and where
Different things drive population change at different scales. We form a view at each level, and each level constrains the one below it.
- Nation
- Overseas migration
- Fertility and life expectancy
- Housing completions
- State
- Share of overseas migration
- Interstate migration
- State housing policy
- Region (this page)
- Intrastate migration
- Development pipeline
- Capacity and limiting factors
- Ageing in place
- Suburb and site
- Site-by-site development assessment
- Dwelling type and density
Housing capacity, by area
| Sub-area (SA3) | Area character | Capacity used by 2046 |
|---|---|---|
| Bendigo | 68.7% | |
| Heathcote – Castlemaine – Kyneton | 44.9% | |
| Loddon – Elmore | 55.3% | |
| Bendigo total | 61.7% |
How to read this
Capacity used is the share of an area's assessed dwelling capacity that the forecast draws down by 2046. Assessed capacity is post-census capacity across 388 tracked residential development sites, so it counts what those sites can hold, not every theoretical dwelling a planning control would permit.
The major sites that shape this forecast
| Site | Location | Type | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Provenance Estate Future Release | Midland Highway | Greenfield | Approved |
| Forest Park Estate | 244 EDWARDS ROAD MAIDEN GULLY | Greenfield | Structure plan / Under-utilised (med-high density) |
| Huntly Psp Low Density Intensification | Pitt Street & Old Murray Road | Greenfield | Structure plan / Under-utilised (med-high density) |
| Mount Macedon Road Potential Future Residential | 65 Andrew Avenue, Woodend | Greenfield | Potential long-term supply |
| Strathfieldsaye potential development | Strathfieldsaye | Redevelopment | Structure plan / Under-utilised (med-high density) |
Our forecasting team
Places covered by this forecast
The largest of the 226 suburbs and localities in this region. Every one of them is forecast at small-area level, and any combination can be built into a custom catchment through Placemaker.
- Kangaroo Flat
- Golden Square
- Strathfieldsaye
- Castlemaine
- Kyneton
- Woodend
- Kennington
- Maiden Gully
- Strathdale
- Bendigo
- Epsom
- Eaglehawk
- Huntly
- California Gully
- North Bendigo
- Flora Hill
- Junortoun
- White Hills
- Long Gully
- Spring Gully
- + 206 more
Plus 206 more. Search for any suburb or locality on our forecast analysis page.
Common questions about the forecast for Bendigo
A credible, independent forecast
Independent of government
Our forecasts are not commissioned by any government, so they give an independent view.
Granular forecasts for custom catchments
Forecast at small-area level, so they can be built up into any catchment you need, such as a school catchment, a retail trade area or a utility service area.
Every region, on one basis
A single national model, not a collection of unconnected local studies.
Assessed site by site
Built on a national development sites layer maintained by our own forecasters. 388 development sites assessed in this region alone.
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A named forecaster behind every region
Questions about a forecast go to the team who prepared it.
See the forecast for your exact area
Placemaker gives you the population, housing and development forecast for any catchment you draw inside this region, by single year, with the development pipeline behind it.