GOVERNMENT TOOLS

The City of Bayswater, the Town of Bassendean, the City of Swan, and the City of Mundaring.
The region is serviced by the Tonkin and Great Northern Highway which run parallel to each other running north-south and Guildford Rd which leads to the Great Eastern highway running east-west.
The Perth - North East region only has one major trainline servicing it, the Midland Line. However, the under construction Morley-Ellenbrook line will service the northern growth corridor once completed.
Similar to the other metropolitan Perth SA4s, the Perth - North East region includes both densely population inner city suburbs along with vast and expanding outer suburb growth areas.
The region includes the Mundaring Weir, completed in 1903, this Australian engineering feat was constructed to pump water to Kalgoorlie, over 700km away. The region also includes world-famous wine region, the Swan Valley.

Key findings

Perth - North East

As the Northern Growth Corridor begins to slow down, Bullsbrook takes hold of the reins

As the Northern growth corridor begins to run out of land, Bullsbrook SA2 takes over, taking more than the lion's share of both population and dwellings growth in the Perth - North East region. Over the forecast period, Perth - North East is expected to grow from 112,711 to 155,766 dwellings, an additional 43,000 dwellings by 2046.

The largest proportion of population growth at a local level belongs to Bullsbrook SA2, contributing 31,300 persons, accounting for 29% of the region's total population growth to 2046. The second and third largest growth fronts in the region are Brabham - Henley Brook SA2, and Beechboro SA2, contributing 13,600 and 10,000 persons to 2046 respectively. This growth is attributed to the significant number of greenfield residential developments, precinct structure plans, and state-government land supply identified within these areas over the forecast period, however, only Bullsbrook SA2 will have excess land supply after the forecast period. Collectively, these three SA2s will contribute over 44% of Perth - North West's total dwelling growth to 2046.

Within the more densely populated areas such as Bayswater, Bassendean, and the southern area of the City of Swan, significant residential development is expected in the form of high density, activity centre style apartments and redevelopments. Midland - Guilford SA2 is expected to contribute over 6,700 new persons to 2046 whom will reside in over 3,500 new residential dwellings. This growth is spearheaded by the structure plan surrounding the new Midland train station along with some greenfield development to the south-east of the SA2. Bayswater - Embleton - Bedford SA2, Maylands SA2, and Bassendean - Eden Hill - Ashfield SA2s are also expected to experience growth in the form of high density redevelopments within strategic areas in close proximity to the Midland Train Line. These SA2s will account for 8% of the region's population growth to 2046

Bayswater - Embleton - Bedford SA2, Bassendean - Eden Hill - Ashfield SA2, and Morley SA2 are forecast to experience the most infill development in the 25 years to 2046, adding an additional 2,600 dwellings through infill development respectively.

No SA2s are expected to decline in population over the forecast period, however, the smallest growth will occur in Glen Forrest - Darlington SA2 (105), Gidgegannup SA2 (246), and Chidlow SA2 (648).

What share of Australia's growth will occur in Western Australia?

Read our forecast results and analysis for Western Australia to learn more about how the different drivers of population change affect the distribution of growth throughout the state.

The population forecast for Western Australia

Forecast results

The following forecast information is for the entire Perth - North East region.

Learn more about the different options to access these forecasts for Local Government Areas (LGAs), suburbs, custom catchments or the entire state or nation here.

	2026	2031	2036	2041	2046
Forecast Population	314,763	338,839	359,730	378,283	395,159
Change (five year)	28,041	24,076	20,891	18,553	16,876
Average Annual Change (%)	1.96%	1.53%	1.23%	1.03%	0.89%
Forecast Dwellings	122,040	131,643	140,285	148.333	155,766
Change (five year)	9,329	9,603	8,642	8,048	7,433
Average Annual Change (%)	1.66%	1.57%	1.31%	1.15%	1%

Map of development sites

The map below identifies all major development sites that have been identified in our research.

These sites have been organised to understand the likely location, capacity, timing and sequence of future development. By matching forecast population growth in this area to these sites, we can provide a more granular view of the distribution of the forecast population within a given region.

In the Perth - North East region, we identified 466 development sites, of which 54% of the residential dwelling capacity was used.

Learn more about our land use research

Access

How to access the National Forecasting Program

Our National Forecasting Program is the backbone of all of our forecasting products and services for government and business.

Government Toolkit

Our Government Toolkit gives users access to the proprietary datasets maintained by .id through a suite of intuitive online tools.
See the National Forecasting Program in action in our Population Forecast online tool, or get in touch.

Learn More