National Forecast Program

The population forecast for Western Australia

This webinar was presented on October 4th, 2023.

Or, scroll down for a full list of resources mentioned in the session.

The population forecast for Western Australia

Watch the full briefing on-demand

Did you miss the live webinar? Register here to watch the full recording, including the Q&A with our expert panel.

PRESENTED BY

Andrew  Hedge
Andrew Hedge

Product Marketing Manager (Industry)

Johnny Barnard
Johnny Barnard

Forecaster

Richard  Thornton
Richard Thornton

Product Manager Forecast

Four big stories for Western Australia

Western Australia's population is influenced by the ebb and flow of its major industries more than that of any other state. However, the demographic factors that have shaped the state's population since the heady days of the mining boom in the late 2000s continue to play a role in determining when, where and how much growth will occur in Western Australia in the years ahead.

Despite intentions to densify Perth's inner metropolitan areas, growth in recent years has been predominantly on the capital's outskirts in greenfield developments that are now being supported by hundreds of kilometres of new or upgraded rail infrastructure in the Northern, North-Eastern and South-Eastern growth corridors - the state has both the land and plan for growth. 

We invite you to join us as we present our new forecasts for Western Australia, as we explore how demographic drivers are changing the makeup of the population, and how development and land-use pipeline is affecting when and where growth is forecast to occur in both Greater Perth and the State's regions over the next 25 years.

Western Australia has an ageing population, but there are plenty of kids on the way

While a significant proportion of the Western Australian population are in pre-retirement and retiree age groups, the most populous cohort in the population is those aged between 30 to 40. 

So although there will be an increasing demand for aged services in the years ahead, the state will maintain a healthy demographic balance.

Despite intentions to densify Perth's inner metropolitan areas, growth in recent years has been predominantly on the capital's outskirts in greenfield developments that are now being supported by hundreds of kilometres of new or upgraded rail infrastructure in the Northern, North-Eastern and South-Eastern growth corridors - the state has both the land and plan for growth. 

We invite you to join us as we present our new forecasts for Western Australia, as we explore how demographic drivers are changing the makeup of the population, and how development and land-use pipeline is affecting when and where growth is forecast to occur in both Greater Perth and the State's regions over the next 25 years.

Western Australia has an ageing population, but there are plenty of kids on the way

Growth shifting from the North East to North West

The North East growth corridor, including the City of Swan and the Shire of Mundaring, has been a driver of growth in metropolitan Perth for the last 10 to 15 years, with significant growth around Ellenbrook and West Swan.

However, in recent times, growth has slowed in this area, with a greater share of the State's growth occurring in the North West corridor around Wanneroo, and our forecasts showing sustained growth all the way up to Yanchep along the railway line.

Growth shifting from the North East to North West

Steady as she goes in Inner Perth

With so much greenfield land available, zoned for development, and supported by the expanding metropolitan railway service, despite some evidence of densification, the lion's share of forecast growth is around Greater Perth's greenfield development sites, with Inner-Perth region forecast to account for just over 5% of the State's growth in the forecast period.

Steady as she goes in Inner Perth

Room to grow

While many of Australia's larger capital cities are restricted in their growth either by geography, topography or a lack of planning preparation, Perth has an abundance of greenfield growth opportunities with plenty of land available for development, well-prepared planning schemes and future-looking investments in infrastructure. 

Room to grow

Access

How to access the National Forecasting Program

Our National Forecasting Program is the backbone of all of our forecasting products and services for government and business.

Government Toolkit

Our Government Toolkit gives users access to the proprietary datasets maintained by .id through a suite of intuitive online tools.
See the National Forecasting Program in action in our Population Forecast online tool, or get in touch.

Government Toolkit

The team

Our forecasting team

Prepared and presented by experts from Australia's largest independent population forecasting team.

Johnny Barnard

Johnny Barnard

Forecaster

Andrew  Hedge

Andrew Hedge

Product Marketing Manager (Industry)

Richard  Thornton

Richard Thornton

Product Manager Forecast

Sally  Blandy

Sally Blandy

Head of Product (Industry)

GET IN TOUCH

Purchase data for your area

From one-off reports to data partnerships, we can help you plan and invest with confidence.

.id offers:

  • Detailed forecast data for a suburb, region or an entire state
  • Forecast reports for a known location
  • Reports to identify growth hotspots
  • Partners program for consultants and frequent users

Let our team help you find the right option for you.