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The Mandurah SA4 is located 65 km south of the Perth CBD, and is governed by the City of Mandurah (representing 85% of the SA4 population) and the western portion of the Shire of Murray, including localities such as Pinjarra, North Dandalup, South Yunderup, Ravenswood, and Furnissdale.

The region features an urban core around Mandurah city centre and its coastal suburbs, including Halls Head-Erskine, Falcon-Wannanup, and Dawesville-Bouvard along the Indian Ocean coastline.

While Pinjarra has long-term development plans, the Mandurah Activity Centre and Mandurah Junction precinct represent key urban infill and intensification opportunities within the established city.

Map image: via Google Map Data

Key findings

Mandurah

The region will reach 180,000 residents by 2046 .
The largest growth is seen in the Pinjarra and Mandurah East SA2s, both part of the Murray shire, with increases of 38,000 and 10,000 people, respectively. This is largely due to the urban zoning of land for development.
The major growth sites in Mandurah LGA are in Mandurah North SA2, with a population increase of 12,400 people, led by the development of Ocean Hill Estate and Seaside Estate.
We also see growth around Mandurah Junction and Mandurah Activity Centre, with medium-density dwellings such as 3-5-storey apartment buildings and townhouses, as shown in the recently approved precinct structure plan.
Dawesville - Bouvard, Falcon - Wannanup and Mandurah East have high vacancy rates due to a lack of public infrastructure and the fact that they are mainly holiday home locations.

What share of Australia's growth will occur in Western Australia?

Read our forecast results and analysis for Western Australia to learn more about how the different drivers of population change affect the distribution of growth throughout the state.

The population forecast for Western Australia

Forecast results

The following forecast information is for the entire Mandurah region.

Learn more about the different options to access these forecasts for Local Government Areas (LGAs), suburbs, custom catchments or the entire state or nation here.

	2021	2026	2031	2041	2046
Forecast Population	111,295	129,629	143,865	171,386	183,969
Change (five year)		18,334	14,236	13,369	12,583
Average Annual Change (%)		3.1%	2.11%	1.64%	1.43%
Forecast Dwellings	51,906	5,960%	62,859	75,848	82,430
Change (five year)		5,054	5,899	6,560	6,582
Average Annual Change (%)		1.88%	1.99%	1.83%	1.68%

Access

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See the National Forecasting Program in action in our Population Forecast online tool, or get in touch.

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