National Forecast Program

South East

Tasmania South East SA4

Published: March 2026
Version 5.2.0

The population and housing forecast for the Tasmania South East SA4 region.

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South East

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Detailed forecasts are available for this region

ABOUT

About the Tasmania South East Region

Tasmania is forecast to add 78,000 new residents by 2046. Tasmania South East makes up around 7.8% of this growth, showing steady growth and its appeal as a leafier alternative to city living.

Tasmania South East is a scenic region with a wealth of historical sites and natural attractions, comprising the areas surrounding Greater Hobart and the LGAs of Huon Valley, Derwent Valley, Glamorgan, Southern Midlands, Central Highlands and Tasman.

The region mainly consists of rural townships, with the occasional centre such as Huonville, located in the Huon Valley.

About the Tasmania South East Region

Key Findings

The region is expected to reach around 45,000 residents in 2030. The total population of Tasmania South East in 2046 is 48,829, a net growth of around 6,039 residents since 2021, with 3,902 net additional dwellings by 2046.

  • The region is experiencing steady growth from spillover from Greater Hobart and interstate migration.
  • Huon Valley is pursuing increased densification within its main regional centre through the Huonville Structure Plan, supported by the Cygnet Structure Plan, which will provide more housing and density within Cygnet. These are intended to help accommodate the region's growing housing need.
  • Glamorgan is experiencing new levels of densification, with higher density developments in the planning approval pipeline.

Access

How to access the National Forecasting Program

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See the National Forecasting Program in action in our Population Forecast online tool, or get in touch.

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Government Toolkit

Forecast results

The following forecast information presents the numbers for Tasmania South East.

Learn more about the different options to access these forecasts for Local Government Areas (LGAs), suburbs, custom catchments or the entire state or nation here.

202120262031203620412046
Forecast Population42,79044,93546,10147,31748,21648,829
Change (five year)-2,1451,1661,217898613
Average Annual Change (%)-1.0%0.5%0.5%0.4%0.3%
Forecast Dwellings25,63226,28727,02427,97028,77529,534
Change (five year)-655737946805759
Average Annual Change (%)-0.5%0.6%0.7%0.6%0.5%

The team

Our forecasting team

Prepared and presented by experts from Australia's largest independent population forecasting team.

Johnny Barnard

Johnny Barnard

Principal Consultant

Liza Ivanova

Liza Ivanova

Principal Forecast Consultant

Richard Thornton

Richard Thornton

Head of Forecasting

Chris Jones

Chris Jones

Forecaster

Oliver Bowering

Oliver Bowering

Senior Forecast Consultant

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