Adelaide - South

The population of Adelaide - South in 2021 was 378,101. The population is forecast to grow by 50,361 persons to reach 428,462 in 2046. This accounts for 13% of South Australia's population growth over the next 25 years.

• The number of dwellings in Adelaide - South is forecast to grow from 162,810 in 2021 to 183,896 in 2046, an additional 21,086 dwellings.
• Given its mature nature, growth in Adelaide - South is spread evenly throughout the region, with no one or two SA2s spearheading its population growth. That being said, Hackham - Onkaparinga Hills SA2 is forecast to contribute 4,421 persons to 2046, accounting for 8.9% of the region's total population growth. the largest share throughout the forecast period.
• Aldinga SA2 is forecast to contribute 1,877 dwellings to 2046, accounting for 7.9% of the regions total dwelling growth, the largest share throughout the forecast period.
• Hackham - Onkaparinga Hills SA2 is also the fastest growing SA2 in both dwellings built and population growth, with the majority of development happening within the second half of the 25-year forecast period resultant of a recently zoned urban growth area supplying 2,000 dwellings.
• Significant infill activity has been forecast within Mitchell Park SA2, Morphetville SA2, and Warradale SA2 with the majority being utilised throughout our forecast period. Each SA2 is forecast to experience consistent growth as a result. This acts as a challenge for our forecasters who must decide when and where this growth comes on.
• Adelaide - South is forecast to maintain a similar age structure throughout the forecast period, if not aging slightly by 2046. Adelaide - South boasts a wide range of roles and functions, with a diverse mix of housing markets on offer. Such diversity is characterised by a dominate middle age bracket, with spikes in both university and senior aged peoples.

Read on below for charts, maps and tables sharing the forecast results at SA2 geography. 

Adelaide - South SA4 is made up of 35 SA2s with a diverse geography and an eclectic range of functions. Beginning at Glenelg, the region spans east from coast to the hills, cut in half by Main South Road which runs parallel along the SA4. Development follows south west along the Mount Lofty ranges, eventually ending in Sellicks Beach. The Eastern region is constrained by the Hills, where population and development activity becomes more scarce. The heart of the northern region surrounds Marion, in close proximity to Flinders University and the Lonsdale industrial precinct, whereas the southern capital surrounds Noarlunga Centre, servicing the Onkaparinga region.

The Seaford Train Line dissects the region, running from Edwardstown as far as Seaford. Glenelg and the northern sector of the region is serviced by trams. whereas the West relies on bus routes and private transportation. Adelaide - South has benefited from recent railway extensions, improving the accessibility of the region, most notably, the Flinders Railway Line extension.

Adelaide - South's age structure is reflective of the diverse range of roles it plays in the functioning of greater Adelaide. Dominated by 35-49-year-olds, the region is mostly made up of young families, followed by university aged adults and then older populations. Older age brackets are forecast to expand throughout the forecast period.

Read our forecast results and analysis for Western Australia to learn more about how the different drivers of population change affect the distribution of growth throughout the state.

The population forecast for South Australia

The following forecast information is for the Adelaide South region.

Learn more about the different options to access these forecasts for Local Government Areas (LGAs), suburbs, custom catchments or the entire state or nation here.