National Forecast Program

Parramatta

The population and housing forecast for the Parramatta region

SA4s in region: Parramatta

Published: April 2024
Version: 5.1.1

Parramatta

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About

About the Parramatta region

The Parramatta region comprises a single SA4, Parramatta. This region is forecast to provide 9% of New South Wales' population growth between 2021 and 2046.

The Parramatta SA4 contains the key urban centre of Parramatta, as well as the urban regeneration projects at Wentworth Point, Sydney Olympic Park and Camellia. The region will also contain three stations of the new Sydney Metro train project (Sydney Olympic Park, Parramatta and Westmead).

The Parramatta SA4 additionally contains the urban centres of Auburn, Granville and Westmead, as well as significant industrial precincts at Silverwater/ Rose Hill, Yennora and Smithfield, and the health and education precinct at Westmead. 

About the Parramatta region

Key findings

Parramatta

Over the forecast period, the Parramatta SA4 is set to grow from 466,000 people in 2021 to around 752,000 in 2046, a growth of 61% in the period. Growth in the SA4 is dominated by regeneration projects around Sydney Olympic Park (including Wentworth Point, Ermington - Rydalmere) and the redevelopment of the Parramatta CBD and surrounds, with less growth forecast in the Cumberland LGA portion of the SA4.

Wentworth Point - Sydney Olympic Park SA2 contains significant brownfield growth that has already commenced in three separate precincts (Wentworth Point, Sydney Olympic Park and the Carter Street Precinct). The nearby SA2 of Ermington - Rydalmere also has two significant brownfield redevelopment precincts that are either just commencing, or expected to commence in the forecast period (Melrose Park and the UWS, ADHC and former Macquarie Boys High School sites). The growth in these two SA2s is expected to be over 42,000, or just under 10% of the SA4 growth. 

The Camellia Precinct is also expected to commence developing in the forecast period, with an the population of the SA2 (Rosehill - Harris Park) more than doubling from 9,120 to over 22, 500.

The Parramatta CBD (Parramatta - North CBD) and the surrounding areas (North Parramatta, Westmead) will continue to see further development, with high density housing in the centre taking advantage of the metro rail developments. 

At the other end of the scale, the non residential areas of the SA4 (Rockwood Cemetery, Smithfield and Yennora Industrial SA2s) will remain with minimal populations, and the established areas of Greystanes - South and Pemulwuy - Greystanes (North) growing more slowly.

What share of Australia's growth will occur in New South Wales?

We set the context for our local area forecasts with a presentation of our state- and regional-level forecasts for New South Wales.

Access the presentation slides (including our forecast data for each region), and a short recap or the full webinar presentation on-demand. Learn what's driving change and how much growth will go to each region of the state over the 25 years to 2046.

 

The population forecast for New South Wales

Forecast results

The following forecast information presents the numbers for the Parramatta SA4.

Learn more about the different options to access these forecasts for Local Government Areas (LGAs), suburbs, custom catchments or the entire state or nation here.

202120262031203620412046
Forecast Population496.672546,630598,389647,984699,230752,142
Change (five year)-49,95851,759 49,59551,24652,912
Average Annual Change (%)-1.94% 1.83% 1.61% 1.53% 1.47%
Forecast Dwellings171,806187,642207,747 249,416272,209272,209
Change (five year)-15,83620,10420,14621,52322,793
Average Annual Change (%)-1.78% 2.06% 1.87% 1.82% 1.76%

Access

How to access the National Forecasting Program

Our National Forecasting Program is the backbone of all of our forecasting products and services for government and business.

Government Toolkit

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See the National Forecasting Program in action in our Population Forecast online tool, or get in touch.

Government Toolkit

The team

Our forecasting team

Prepared and presented by experts from Australia's largest independent population forecasting team.

Johnny Barnard

Johnny Barnard

Forecaster

Liza  Ivanova

Liza Ivanova

Forecaster

Richard  Thornton

Richard Thornton

Product Manager Forecast

Chris Jones

Chris Jones

Forecaster

Oliver Bowering

Oliver Bowering

Forecaster

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