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Planning education provision in a changing Australia
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How many schools will your suburb need in 10 years’ time?
This on demand webinar explores the research behind Planning education provision in a changing Australia.
Our experts share up to date analysis of how post pandemic shifts in migration, fertility and housing development are reshaping demand for places in early learning, primary and secondary education. Growth is uneven, with strong pressure in some areas and declining enrolments in others. Understanding where, when and why this change is occurring is critical for long term education planning.
The session draws on .id’s population forecasts and local area data to show how national trends play out at a regional and local level, and how this evidence can be used to support more confident decisions about infrastructure, investment and service provision.
This webinar was originally presented on Tuesday 28 October 2025.
PRESENTED BY
Johnny Barnard
Forecaster
Liza Ivanova
Forecaster
Glenn Capuano
Demographer
Preview
What we'll cover in this session
The big picture
Australia will need more than 720,000 additional school places by 2046, with growth unevenly spread across early learning, primary, and secondary sectors.
Demographic drivers
How migration and births, including the short-lived COVID baby blip, are shaping future demand for school places.
Local context matters
New housing estates on the urban fringe are booming, while older suburbs are ageing and losing younger families. Inner-city areas are seeing a resurgence, while housing affordability is driving growth in some regional centres.
Case studies in action
Real-world examples, such as Catholic Education Tasmania, show how demographic evidence guides planning for capital works, land purchases, site selection and individual schools.
Planning with confidence
Practical insights into linking forecasts, enrolments, and housing trends to help education leaders allocate resources to the right place at the right time.
Q&A with our experts
Put your questions about this topic directly to our demographers and population forecasting team in a live Q&A. Tell us what you'd like to learn more about in the form above.
