DATASETS

National Forecasting Program

Plan for future growth with independent population and housing forecasts for every local area

.id’s National Forecasting Program helps organisations plan for the future by understanding the timing and location of future growth. Our independent forecasting reflects the most likely population and housing outcomes based on the latest data from a range of trusted sources. We create consistent national forecasting using the same methodology and outputs for any location across Australia, down to a micro-geographic area, to show where change is happening.  

National Forecasting Program

BENEFITS

National Forecasting Program benefits

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Independent expert analysis

The National Forecasting Program is created by our team of specialist demographers and development researchers using current information and modelling to predict the most likely housing and population outcomes.

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Trusted, accurate and up‑to‑date

Enhance your in-house modelling with detailed forecast data, updated monthly to capture change in fast-growing locations. Our clients rely on the National Forecasting Program for critical decisions and planning for electoral boundaries, utilities, schools, retail locations and emergency services.

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National and granular forecasting

Flexible microgeographic forecasts enable custom forecast catchments for any size project. Our consistent national dataset makes it easy for national retailers and utilities to plan and compare growth forecasts across state borders.

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The backbone of our forecasting services

The National Forecasting Program powers all .id forecasting products and services for government and business.

FEATURES

What makes our National Forecasting Program unique?

What makes our National Forecasting Program unique?

METRICS

What metrics does the National Forecasting Program include?

Population forecasts

  • By single-year of age
  • Can be aggregated to custom age groups (e.g. primary schoolers, first home buyers, retirees)
  • By sex – male/female 

Housing forecasts

  • Total dwellings (current stock + development sites + infill)

Residential Development Forecasts

  • A forecast of the location, capacity, timing and sequence of future residential development
    Learn more

By single forecast years

  • A year-by-year forecast to give accurate assessment of the timing of growth, based on population demand and housing supply/development timing

Microgeography

  • The most granular forecasts of population and housing available in Australia
  • Identify local nuances
  • Aggregate to fit any geography
What metrics does the National Forecasting Program include?

Maintenance

How is the National Forecasting Program maintained?

A lot can happen in five years – which is how often many publicly-available forecasts are released. The National Forecasting Program follows a unique model that provides up-to-date forecasts every month, a region at a time, focusing on the fastest-changing areas. 

We review our ‘top-down’ national and state models every year, accounting for the latest demographic information including births, deaths and migration, and the impact of changing economic conditions, like major projects. 

We monitor the factors that would impact the forecast for an area to inform our forecast update roadmap. This means our forecasts are more responsive to new information, including policy changes, zoning and development, to ensure you’re making decisions using the most accurate and up-to-date predictions.

With each region release, our forecasters publish written analysis and regional forecast data. Our map shows the currency of our forecasts with links to the analysis for each region.

VIEW MAP FORECAST REVIEWS

How is the National Forecasting Program maintained?

industries

What industries use the National Forecasting Program?

Local Government

Local Government

Plan for the changing needs of your community with trusted forecasting of population and housing in your LGA.

Education & Early Learning

Education & Early Learning

Detailed age, sex and year of age forecasting to plan enrolments and meet demand for childcare, and present the business case for capital investment and grants funding. 

Utilities

Utilities

See when and where growth is forecast, the timing of development and total capacity of an area to plan networks and build the right infrastructure, first time.

Emergency Services

Emergency Services

Plan ahead and know where emergency services will be needed based on population growth, demographics and risk factors.

Retailers

Retailers

Understand how sentiment drives local loyalty, foot traffic, and place attachment.

Financial Services

Financial Services

Optimise branch services, assess risk and value-add in business banking.

What industries use the National Forecasting Program?

HOW TO ACCESS

How to access the National Forecasting Program

Our National Forecasting Program is the backbone of all of our forecasting products and services for government and business.

Government Tools

Our Government Tools gives users access to the proprietary datasets maintained by .id through a suite of intuitive online tools.


See the National Forecasting Program in action in our Population Forecast online tool, or get in touch.

 

Learn More  Get in touch

 

Government Tools

GET IN TOUCH

Purchase data for your area

From one-off reports to data partnerships, we can help you plan and invest with confidence.

.id offers:

  • Detailed forecast data for a suburb, region or an entire state
  • Forecast reports for a known location
  • Reports to identify growth hotspots
  • Partners program for consultants and frequent users

Let our team help you find the right option for you.