The 50 largest cities and towns in Australia | Pandemic edition

Demographics
Population-growth-picC-sm-1755598250
Glenn  Capuano

Glenn Capuano

Customer Success Manager

Key Highlights

  • In 2021, Sydney surpassed Melbourne to become Australia's most populous urban area, with 4,959,107 residents. This shift was influenced by Melbourne's significant population decline of 65,115 people (−1.3%) due to pandemic-related factors.
  • Cities like the Gold Coast–Tweed Heads (+1.3%), Newcastle–Maitland (+1.5%), Sunshine Coast (+1.6%), and Geelong (+1.9%) experienced notable population increases, reflecting a trend of Australians relocating from major capitals to regional centers during the pandemic.
  • While Brisbane and Perth saw modest growth, other capitals like Canberra–Queanbeyan experienced a population decrease of 1,841 people (−0.4%), highlighting the varied impact of COVID-19 across urban areas.
  • The pandemic accelerated 'fleechange' movements, with individuals seeking lifestyle changes by moving to regional areas within two hours of major cities, contributing to the growth of these urban centers.
  • These demographic shifts underscore the need for adaptive urban planning and infrastructure development to accommodate changing population dynamics in both metropolitan and regional areas.

This is the annual update to the popular Top 50 cities in Australia blog. Updated population data is released every year by the ABS; see what’s changed, what’s stayed the same and how COVID-19 has affected the rankings.


Our most popular series over the past 12 years of writing the .id blog has undoubtedly been our “Top 50 cities”. Everyone loves a ranking! Each year the ABS release population numbers for urban areas of Australia with more than about 10,000 people, and we look at the 50 largest centres to see how population change is altering the rankings. There’s not usually much change year-to-year, but COVID-19, border closures, lockdowns and associated population movement have shifted things around a bit for 2021.

As we’ve previously looked at, Australia’s population growth stalled in 2020-21, due primarily to border closures, and there are now vast differences between growth rates within Australia. Generally our largest cities and established urban areas have declined (particularly Sydney and Melbourne) while places where people look for lifestyle change (now popularly known as “fleechange” areas) within 2 hours drive of the capitals have tended to boom. So here is the list as of 2021.

The usual note: this is a list of “significant urban areas”; it is not the same as the Greater Capital City areas and represents primarily built up contiguously urban parts of our major centres.

RankSignificant urban area 2021 Pop 5 year change5 year change %1 year change1 year change %Change in rank (1 yr)
1Sydney NSW 4,959,107321,6716.9% -7,103 -0.1% +1
2Melbourne Vic 4,901,863355,2707.8% -65,115 -1.3% -1
3Brisbane Qld 4,901,863213,0669.3% 20,724 0.8% 0
4Perth WA 2,099,530117,2605.9% 15,3390.7% 0
5Adelaide SA 1,359,08753,5614.1% 1,6640.1% 0
6Gold Coast – Tweed Heads Qld-NSW 718,77273,06111.3% 9,4021.3% 0
7Newcastle – Maitland NSW 505,48929,7736.3% 7,4711.5% 0
8Canberra – Queanbeyan ACT-NSW 462,98423,0135.2% -1,841 -0.4% 0
9Sunshine Coast Qld 353,90637,00111.7% 5,6011.6% 0
10Central Coast NSW 338,56710,2373.1% 1,2750.4% 0
11Wollongong NSW 312,167 17,3835.9% 2,8230.9% 0
12Geelong Vic 287,70433,40813.1% 5,3851.9%
13Hobart Tas 218,38610,9905.3% -568-0.3% 0
14Townsville Qld 184,2716,0273.4% 9780.5% 0
15Cairns Qld 155,5296,3474.3% 2240.1% 0
16Toowoomba Qld 140,3036,6495.0% 7970.6% 0
17Darwin NT 132,921-177-0.1% -424-0.3% 0
18Ballarat Vic 111,3489,6709.5% 1,8511.7% 0
19Bendigo Vic 103,5757,6418.0% 1,1121.1% 0
20Albury – Wodonga NSW-Vic 97,2746,4387.1% 1,2151.3% 0
21Launceston Tas 88,884 3,152 3.7% -249-0.3% 0
22Mackay Qld 81,2628511.1% 3510.4% 0
23Rockhampton Qld 79,967 1,3691.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0
24Melton Vic 77,39215,43224.9% 1,9232.5% 0
25Bunbury WA 75,440 1,7622.4% 2710.4% 0
26Coffs Harbour NSW 73,4433,3374.8% 4240.6% 0
27Bundaberg Qld 71,7961,6172.3% 2480.3% 0
28Wagga Wagga NSW 57,0041,2042.2% 1210.2% 0
29Hervey Bay Qld 56,5993,5836.8% 6231.1% 0
30Shepparton – Mooroopna Vic 52,2731,565 3.1% -233-0.4% 0
31Mildura – Wentworth Vic-NSW 51,7947431.5% 507-1.0% 0
32Port Macquarie NSW 50,3653,9898.6% 8821.8% 0
33Gladstone – Tannum Sands Qld 45,987 1,0332.3% 580.1% 0
34Tamworth NSW 43,3301,3443.2% 810.2% 0
35Traralgon – Morwell Vic 42,5671,1822.9% 1390.3% 0
36Warragul – Drouin Vic 42,1156,59218.6% 1,4843.7% +2
37Bowral – Mittagong NSW 41,4542,8017.2% 4881.2% -1
38Orange NSW 41,1621,5764.0% 2740.7% -1
39Busselton WA 41,0343,3448.9% 7001.7% 0
40Dubbo NSW 39,3632,2456.0% 3110.8% 0
41Nowra – Bomaderry NSW 38,9472,1575.9% 6311.6% 0
42Bathurst NSW 38,0872,2096.2% 5431.4% 0
43Geraldton WA 37,228 -1,141 -3.0% -35-0.1% 0
44Warrnambool Vic 35,9571,3423.9% 790.2% 0
45Albany WA 34,6128282.5% 180.1% 0
46Devonport Tas 30,8839833.3% 180.1% 0
47Devonport Tas 29,9404081.4% -30.0% 0
48Nelson Bay NSW 28,7521,2934.7% 2590.9% +2
49Kalgoorlie – Boulder WA 28,565-2,087 -6.8% -354-1.2% -1
50Lismore NSW 28,469-547-1.9% -27-0.1% -1

Sydney returns to the top spot

Last year we heralded with much fanfare that Melbourne was the largest city in Australia, overtaking Sydney (using the SUA definition only). This lasted a year; with Melbourne’s population decline due to lockdowns, a loss of more than 65,000 people relegates Melbourne to the #2 spot, with Sydney once more Australia’s largest city (despite its own population fall).

Other notable changes

  • Rising areas represent those fleechange locations 100km or so from our capitals. Warragul-Drouin in Victoria rises two places to #36, Nelson Bay NSW is up to #48 and (just off the list) Victor Harbor – Goolwa in SA rises 2 places to #51.
  • Plenty of areas have grown or shrunk in population but maintained their position on the list. 42 of the top 50 were at the same position in 2021 as in 2020.
  • These top 50 urban areas in Australia contain 21,423,279 people in 2021 – 83.2% of the total for Australia. The top 100 urban areas make up 86.9%. Of course, the top 5 alone – the only cities with over 1 million – make up 61%. We are still a very urbanised country.
  • The effect of the pandemic is seen in the fact that 12 of the top 50 urban centres recorded population declines in 2021. The total for the top 50 was an increase of 9,702 people – just 0.05%, This was mainly due to Melbourne’s large fall.
  • More than two-thirds of Australia’s population growth occurred in the “Not in a significant urban area” category. This makes up only 13.1% of Australia’s population, but increased by almost 31,000 people for the year, representing a 0.9% increase. This is by far the largest growth in this category since records began in the 1980s. These include all rural areas outside of major centres, as well as smaller towns of less than 10,000 population (and not near the outskirts of a larger urban area).

Urban centres by state

NSW has 19 of the top 50 urban centres, with Qld next on 11.

State/Territory Urban Centres in the 50 largest 2021
NSW19
Vic10
Qld11
SA2
WA6
Tas3
NT1
ACT1

Figures will be adjusted post-Census

Note of course that these are pre-2021 Census figures, and will change once the Census results are out. The ABS reviews population estimates after each Census, so we’ll likely see some differences after the June 2022 release of the 2021 Census, which reveal the true extent of the shifts in population distribution.

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