GOVERNMENT TOOLS

The Hume region (SA4) is made up of ten distinct Local Government areas in addition to the six Victorian Alpine Resorts, which are managed independently by Alpine Resorts Victoria. The Local Government areas included are:

Alpine Shire, Benalla Rural City, Indigo Shire, Mansfield Shire, part of Mitchell Shire, Murrindindi Shire, Strathbogie Shire, Towong Shire, Wangaratta Rural City, Wodonga City, and a portion of Yarra Ranges Shire.

Hume has a varied industry and employment makeup, with a strong concentration of agriculture in the west. It also has a strong tourism industry across the Alpine region and the Milawa food and wine region. The Hume transport corridor traverses the region linking supply chains to national and international markets through Melbourne, Sydney, Brisbane and Canberra. Additionally, Hume is home to the key regional centres of Kilmore, Seymour, Wangaratta, and Wodonga, all of which are expected to undergo some population growth over the forecast period.

Shepparton Region (SA4)

The Shepparton region is made up of three Local Government areas. The Local Government areas included are:

Campaspe Shire, Greater Shepparton City and Moira Shire.

The Shepparton region has a varied industry and employment makeup, with a strong concentration on agriculture and food processing. It also has a strong tourism industry centred around Echuca. The Goulburn Valley transport corridor traverses the region linking supply chains to national and international markets through Melbourne, Sydney, Brisbane and Canberra. Additionally, Hume is home to the key regional centres of Shepparton, Echuca, Cobram and Kyabram

Key findings

Hume region

Over the forecast period, Hume will grow by 46,000 people, from 184,000 in 2021 to 230,000 people in 2046. This represents an annual growth rate of 0.9% over the forecast period. Much of this growth will occur in the larger growth centres of Wodonga, Wangaratta and Kilmore.

The largest area of growth will be in the Baranduda - Leneva SA2 area, Baranduda is Wodonga's growth area, and is expected to grow by about 13,000 people approximately doubling its population to about 26,000 by 2046, at an annual growth rate of 2.9%. This is by far the largest growth area within the region, with Kilmore being the second largest area of population growth, growing by approximately 9,000 persons by 2046, an average annual growth rate of 1.83%, resulting in a total population of 24,000. The rate of population growth for the rest of the Hume region drops sharply, with Wangaratta and Mansfield having the next largest growth of 3,500 and 3,000 respectively.

Many areas remain relatively stable over the period, with Beechworth, Euroa, Myrtleford, Rutherglen, Towong and Yackandandah having very low levels of growth of less than a 1,000 people over the period.

Key findings

Shepparton region

The City of Shepparton is the largest recipient of this growth. The city consists of 3 SA2s, which collectively had a population of 45,500 in 2021. This is expected to grow by 10,000 to approximately 55,500 by 2041 (at an annual average growth rate of 0.83%). Within Shepparton, the largest area of growth will be in the Kialla SA2 area, which is Shepparton's growth area, that is expected to grow by about 5,000 people to a total of 14,000 by 2046 (an annual average growth rate of 1.83%). Outside of Shepparton the SA2s of Yarrawonga and Echuca (growing by 3,000 and 2,000 respectively).

Many SA2 areas remain relatively stable over the period, with Rochester, Rushworth, Moira and Numurkah having small changes in population over the period.

What share of Australia's growth will occur in Victoria?

We set the context for our local area forecasts with a presentation of our state and regional-level forecasts for Victoria.

Access the presentation slides (including our forecast data for each region), and a short recap or the full webinar presentation on-demand. Learn what's driving change and how much growth will go to each region of the state over the 25 years to 2046.

The population forecast for Victoria

Forecast results

Hume

The following forecast information presents the numbers for the Hume SA4.

Learn more about the different options to access these forecasts for Local Government Areas (LGAs), suburbs, custom catchments or the entire state or nation here.

	2021	2026	2031	2036	2041	2046
Forecast Population	184,129	195,073	203,476	212,087	221,158	230,268
Change (five year)		10,944	8,403	8,611	9,071	9,110
Average Annual Change (%)		0.23%	0.17%	0.17%	0.17%	0.16%
Forecast Dwellings	88,830	95,390	100,185	105,228	110,445	115,815
Change (five year)		6,560	4,796	5,042	5,217	5,371
Average Annual Change (%)		0.29%	0.20%	0.20%	0.19%	0.19%

Forecast results

Shepparton

The following forecast information presents the numbers for the Shepparton SA4.

Learn more about the different options to access these forecasts for Local Government Areas (LGAs), suburbs, custom catchments or the entire state or nation here.

	2021	2026	2031	2036	2041	2046
Forecast Population	137,375	142,667	147,210	151,276	155,121	158,918
Change (five year)		5,292	4,543	4,066	3,845	3,797
Average Annual Change (%)		0.15%	0.13%	0.11%	0.10%	0.10%
Forecast Dwellings	61,468	64,882	67,846	70,774	73,702	76,743
Change (five year)		3,414	2,964	2,929	2,927	3,041
Average Annual Change (%)		0.22%	0.18%	0.17%	0.16%	0.16%

Access

How to access the National Forecasting Program

Our National Forecasting Program is the backbone of all of our forecasting products and services for government and business.

Government Toolkit

Our Government Toolkit gives users access to the proprietary datasets maintained by .id through a suite of intuitive online tools.
See the National Forecasting Program in action in our Population Forecast online tool, or get in touch.

Learn More