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Directly adjacent to Ipswich, the Toowoomba SA4 is the natural periphery to Queensland's fastest growing population hub, creating an array of opportunities and challenges for the region.

The region is situated in the southeast part of the Queensland state, sharing borders with the expansive Darling Downs – Maranoa region to the west, and the Ipswich region to the east heading towards the city of Brisbane. Toowoomba SA4 contains the eastern and the urban part of the Toowoomba LGA, and the western and most of the urban part of the Lockyer Valley LGA.

The region is characterised by rich farmlands in the east; the Lockyer Valley being affectionately known as Australia’s “Salad Bowl”. To the west of the valley, Toowoomba town – the “Garden City” – is an attractive place to live in inland Queensland. This is supported by the rapidly developing greenfield residential areas to the north, west, and south of the town. The region is predicted to hold 2% of the state’s expected growth over the forecast period to 2046.

Key findings

Toowoomba

The Toowoomba region is forecast to grow from a population of 164,082 in 2021 to 209,505 by 2046 .
The region is expected to reach 200,000 residents in 2038
In Highfields, Meringandan, Mount Kynoch, Harlaxton, Darling Heights, Drayton, Top Camp, and Glenvale, there is evidence of densification from standalone houses to units in established suburbs that are in proximity to educational and health facilities. Units are also being constructed near the Toowoomba train station.
In Toowoomba Railway Parklands, a Priority Development Area aims to uplift densification north of the CBD. Council is considering rezoning land to residential just north of Westbrook, which would add to Toowoomba’s extensive urban expansion area.
Mature suburbs such as Rangeville with limited greenfield land and relatively modest-sized lots (which leave little room for infill) are starting to show population stagnation.

What share of Australia's growth will occur in Queensland?

We set the context for our local area forecasts with a presentation of our state- and regional-level forecasts for Queensland.

Access the presentation slides (including our forecast data for each region), and a short recap or the full webinar presentation on-demand. Learn what's driving change and how much growth will go to each region of the state over the 25 years to 2046.

The population forecast for Queensland

Forecast results

The following forecast information presents the numbers for the Toowoomba Region.

Learn more about the different options to access these forecasts for Local Government Areas (LGAs), suburbs, custom catchments or the entire state or nation here.

	2021	2026	2031	2036	2041	2046
Forecast Population	164,082	178,602	188,574	197,620	204,369	209,505
Change (five year)	-	14,520	9,972	9.046	6,749	5,136
Average Annual Change (%)	-	1.71%	1.09%	0.94%	0.67%	0.50%
Forecast Dwellings	67,975	72,157	76,979	81,895	86,785	91,595
Change (five year)	-	4,182	4,822	4,916	4,890	4,810
Average Annual Change (%)	-	1.20%	1.30%	1.25%	1.17%	1.08%

Access

How to access the National Forecasting Program

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Government Toolkit

Our Government Toolkit gives users access to the proprietary datasets maintained by .id through a suite of intuitive online tools.
See the National Forecasting Program in action in our Population Forecast online tool, or get in touch.

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