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This region covers an extensive landlocked area south of the Brisbane River, surrounded by Brisbane East towards the coast, Brisbane Inner City northwards, Brisbane - West to the north-west, Ipswich westwards, and lastly, sharing a broad south boundary with Logan - Beaudesert. Its suburbs are diverse, ranging from greenfield areas such as the emerging community of Rochedale and establishing suburb of Pallara, through to upzoned mature suburbs of Upper Mount Gravatt and Greenslopes, to the extensive redevelopment opportunity of the Woolloongabba Priority Development Area (including the Gabba stadium). While the region's emerging communities, upzoning, and PDAs drive significant population growth, the region also includes quieter suburbs with little to no residential stock increase projected, such as Nathan, Salisbury, and Moorooka.

Key findings

Brisbane - South

Brisbane - South is forecast to account for 7% of the total population growth of Queensland between 2021 and 2046.

The region is expected to add over 140,000 residents along with over 50,000 dwellings in the 25 years to 2046. The growth is projected to be absorbed primarily by the Woolloongabba SA2, with strong growth also seen in Upper Mount Gravatt, Rochedale - Burbank, and Pallara - Willawong SA2s. The Woolloongabba SA2 is predicted to almost quadruple its 2021 census population, to reach almost 34,000 residents by 2046, driven to a great extent by the PDA in the area, along with high density zoning spread across the suburb that is being rapidly taken up through development applications and recent builds. It is predicted to continue drawing in young adults, as is likely to be the case with Upper Mount Gravatt. Rochedale and Pallara on the other hand, are more family-oriented suburbs, providing opportunities for both first home buyers and young families upsizing the family home.

While no SA2 is predicted to experience population decline over the forecast period, several are expected to stagnate in their ERP: Mansfield, Wishart, Moorooka, Salisbury - Nathan, and Kuraby SA2s are the main examples. This is attributable to the present zoning, which does not support scaling of residential capacity, and no present plans for upzoning. While some of these adjoin critical bushland and may be unsuitable for residential upzoning, others hold upzoning potential but are perhaps less desirable for development and will start being utilised only once currently developing suburbs are used up.

What share of Australia's growth will occur in Queensland?

We set the context for our local area forecasts with a presentation of our state- and regional-level forecasts for Queensland.

Access the presentation slides (including our forecast data for each region), and a short recap or the full webinar presentation on-demand. Learn what's driving change and how much growth will go to each region of the state over the 25 years to 2046.

The population forecast for Queensland

Forecast results

The following forecast information presents the combined numbers for the Brisbane - South Region

Learn more about the different options to access these forecasts for Local Government Areas (LGAs), suburbs, custom catchments or the entire state or nation here.

	2021	2026	2031	2036	2041	2046
Forecast Population	377,159	418,476	446,137	472,540	496,674	518,779
Change (five year)	-	41,317	27,661	26,403	24,134	22,106
Average Annual Change (%)	-	2.10%	1.29%	1.16%	1.00%	0.87%
Forecast Dwellings	144,835	153,772	165,104	176,566	187,298	197,502
Change (five year)	-	8,937	11,332	11,462	10,732	10,204
Average Annual Change (%)	-	1.20%	1.43%	1.35%	1.19%	1.07%

Access

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Government Toolkit

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See the National Forecasting Program in action in our Population Forecast online tool, or get in touch.

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