National Forecast Program

Brisbane North

The population and housing forecast for the SA4 Region - Brisbane North

Published: August 2025
Version 5.2.0

Read forecast analysis and insights for the Northern Brisbane region from Australia's largest independent population forecasting team.

Brisbane North

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About

About the Brisbane North Region

Brisbane – North SA4 includes the northern portion of the Brisbane City Council Area. Stemming from Eagle Farm and the Brisbane Airport, along the coast towards Brighton, it includes the areas of Bald Hills down towards to Everton Park.

This SA4 is a key area to provide high density residential housing near the Brisbane CBD. Furthermore, this SA4 contains new density along transport corridors and amenities as seen with Chermside and Nudgee Station.

About the Brisbane North Region

Key findings

Brisbane North

Queensland is forecast to add 2.1 million people by 2046. The Brisbane – North region contributes around 3% of this growth. The region is utilising the remaining greenfield areas and leftover pockets of developable land which explains its smaller contribution to growth.

• Population milestone: the region is expected to reach 250,000 residents in 2028.

• Forecast horizon (to 2046): the region is expected to reach a population of 281,690 by 2046. It is an increase of about 53,908 residents over a 25-year period from the initial population of 227,782 in 2021.

• It’s expected that there’ll be an additional 25,567 dwellings in 2046, reaching up to 120,289.

This SA4 contains the Northshore Hamilton PDA which has the potential to provide 10,000 new homes near the Brisbane CBD. It’s located where the 2032 Olympic Games were initially planned for before being moved to Bowen Hills. It will consist of mainly residential apartments.

Within this SA4, there are residential large lots being subdivided to suburban estates and lots in Bridgeman Downs. These large lots are providing opportunities for new suburbs. There are large swathes of viable opportunity as various lots are amalgamated by developers. The development is occurring sporadically around Bridgeman Downs as various developers are competing.

There is significant densification within the Chermside area, especially around the Westfield with new high-density apartments being built and planned for. Areas along the coast such as Brighton, Sandgate & Shorncliffe are declining due to the older demographic and the price of an average home. The barrier for entry for these areas can be quite significant for couples and younger families.

What share of Australia's growth will occur in Queensland?

We set the context for our local area forecasts with a presentation of our state- and regional-level forecasts for Queensland.

Access the presentation slides (including our forecast data for each region), and a short recap or the full webinar presentation on-demand. Learn what's driving change and how much growth will go to each region of the state over the 25 years to 2046.

The population forecast for Queensland

Forecast results

The following forecast information presents the numbers for Brisbane - North.

Learn more about the different options to access these forecasts for Local Government Areas (LGAs), suburbs, custom catchments or the entire state or nation here.

202120262031203620412046
Forecast Population227,782246,171 257,151267,188 275,574281,690
Change (five year)- 18,389 10,980 10,036 8,3876115
Average Annual Change (%)- 1.6%0.90% 0.80% 0.60% 0.40%
Forecast Dwellings94,72299,646 104,937 110,421115,761 120,289
Change (five year- 4,9245,291 5,484 5,3404,528
Average Annual Change (%)-1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 0.90% 0.70%

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The team

Our forecasting team

Prepared and presented by experts from Australia's largest independent population forecasting team.

Johnny Barnard

Johnny Barnard

Forecaster

Liza  Ivanova

Liza Ivanova

Forecaster

Richard  Thornton

Richard Thornton

Product Manager Forecast

Chris Jones

Chris Jones

Forecaster

Oliver Bowering

Oliver Bowering

Forecaster

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