National Forecast Program

Brisbane Inner City

The population and housing forecast for the Brisbane Inner City region

SA4 Region Queensland

Published 13 August 2025
Version 5.1.0

Read forecast analysis and insights for the Brisbane Inner City region from Australia's largest independent population forecasting team.

Brisbane Inner City

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About

About the Brisbane Inner City Region

The Brisbane Inner City SA4 is entirely within the borders of Brisbane City Council. It stretches from Lutwyche to the north, Morningside to the East, East Brisbane, and Highgate Hill to the south, and to the east, Bardon and Ashgrove.

The Brisbane River weaves through the area, northbound and southbound train lines converge at Roma Street Station, and the topology of the area is undulating with many hills where roads follow the flow of the land, rather than a grid pattern.


Brisbane Inner City is going through a process of densification where young adults are seeing the virtues of living in apartments in the inner city, much like that of larger capital cities such as Sydney and Melbourne.

Through apartment growth and some densification, Brisbane Inner City is forecast to grow by over 170,000 persons in the forecast period between 2021 and 2046.

With around 2000 new dwellings forecast to be completed in 2025, and another 2,500 dwellings under construction in known apartment blocks, there will be a steady increase in the inner city population.

About the Brisbane Inner City Region

Key findings

Brisbane Inner City

  • Queensland is forecast to add 2.1 million people by 2046. The Brisbane Inner City region contributes around 8% of this growth, reflecting its role as at the centre of the State capital.
  • Over the forecast period, the Brisbane Inner City SA4 population will grow from around 297,656 in 2021 to 469,011 in 2046. This is an increase of about 170,000 people which is about a 58% increase over a 25-year period.
  • As a central area of a Capital City, Brisbane Inner shares some similarities with other inner capital city areas of Sydney and Melbourne, namely intensification with high rise apartment blocks and regeneration of lower density or industrial areas. This is particularly so in the Brisbane Inner and Brisbane North SA3s. However the SA4 also encompasses lower density residential areas where the traditional detached dwelling urban form won't change much. This is principally in the Brisbane East and West SA3s, although there will be some higher rise apartment blocks being built immediately next to the river in areas such as Auchenflower/ Toowong / Paddington - Milton and Bulimba.
  • Significant development is associated with larger infrastructure delivery, such as the Cross River rail. The Roma Street Priority Development Area plans for approximately 4,ooo extra residents by 2041, and the Show Grounds redevelopment for the 2032 Olympic Games incorporates plans for residential buildings after the Games. 
  • Outside of those plans, the Kurilpa Temporary Local Planning Instrument focusses on the regeneration of part of the West End and South Brisbane area. The Albion Neighbourhood plan directs some growth immediately north of Breakfast Creek.

What share of Australia's growth will occur in Queensland?

We set the context for our local area forecasts with a presentation of our state- and regional-level forecasts for Queensland.

Access the presentation slides (including our forecast data for each region), and a short recap or the full webinar presentation on-demand. Learn what's driving change and how much growth will go to each region of the state over the 25 years to 2046.

The population forecast for Queensland

Forecast results

The following forecast information presents the numbers for Brisbane - Inner City.

Learn more about the different options to access these forecasts for Local Government Areas (LGAs), suburbs, custom catchments or the entire state or nation here.

202120262031203620412046
Forecast Population297,656344,631 378,641411,086 441,572469,011
Change (five year)- 46,975 34,011 32,445 30,48627,439
Average Annual Change (%)-2.97%1.90% 1.66% 1.44% 1.21%
Forecast Dwellings 145,160155,905 161,819 185,444199,981 214,370
Change (five year- 10,74414,795 14,745 14,53614,390
Average Annual Change (%)-1.44% 1.83% 1.67% 1.52% 1.40%

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The team

Our forecasting team

Prepared and presented by experts from Australia's largest independent population forecasting team.

Johnny Barnard

Johnny Barnard

Forecaster

Liza  Ivanova

Liza Ivanova

Forecaster

Richard  Thornton

Richard Thornton

Product Manager Forecast

Chris Jones

Chris Jones

Forecaster

Oliver Bowering

Oliver Bowering

Forecaster

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